Can Trump win? What the forecasts say about US election

Sun, 25 Oct 2020

The received wisdom is the polls were wrong on Donald Trump in 2016. Hillary Clinton was ahead throughout the campaign, but she lost. Therefore, the polls were bad.In reality the national polls were pretty close to the popular vote result. It's just the decision on who becomes the US President is not decided by the popular vote.The intricacies of the US Electoral College make it possible for a candidate with the right support, in the right place, to lose the popular vote and win the presidency. Trump was an example of this.The sea...

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