A tough economic outlook, but at least we're not in Europe

A tough economic outlook, but at least we're not in Europe
Soaring energy bills are stalling European economies, but NZ is insulated. (Image: Getty)
Pattrick Smellie
If there’s one thing economists seem to agree on ahead of this Thursday’s economic activity figures, it’s that New Zealand will have dodged a recession in the first half of this year.But there is much less agreement than is usual about the size of the increase in gross domestic product (GDP) for the three months to June 30, although no one expects it to be as strong as the 1.8% growth forecast by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ).But even at ANZ, the most bearish economics team with a forecast of just 0.4% growth for the...

More Economy

Business confidence nixes July RBNZ cut
Economy

Business confidence nixes July RBNZ cut

Economists say July is a pause, not the end point.

Rebecca Howard 02 Jul 2025
Monthly CPI tech takes Stats NZ into the future
Economy

Monthly CPI tech takes Stats NZ into the future

Budget funding for new inflation-reporting tech is a giant leap forward, agency says.

Maria Slade 27 Jun 2025
Corporates think NZ 's on the up: Forsyth Barr
Primary Sector

Corporates think NZ 's on the up: Forsyth Barr

The Pulse of NZ Business survey found construction and retail continue to lag.

Gregor Thompson 25 Jun 2025