Interest rates have peaked, but only if RBNZ’s plan works

Reserve Bank governor Adrian Orr is trying to squash inflation without starting a recession. (Photo: Getty)

Fri, 02 Sep 2022

More than half of all outstanding fixed-rate mortgages will roll onto a new, higher interest rate over the next year, according to ASB’s research team.This has a lot of households weighing up whether to refix their loans for several years or to choose a short-term option in the hope that interest rates will come down.Two-year mortgage rates have already retreated from their recent high, falling from an average of 5.99% in June to 5.94% in July.However, economists have conflicting views on where market interest rates will go from here.In a...

Subscribe to BusinessDesk

Stay informed on business, government and financial developments across New Zealand.

Stay informed on business, government and financial developments across New Zealand.
Deeply researched, twice-edited and fact-checked news
Annual subscribers also receive a complimentary subscription to The Wall Street Journal
Personalised email news alerts, plus gift up to 5 stories a month to non-subscribers

You can cancel anytime with two clicks, an email or a phone call.
Find out more.

We are serious about journalism.

Name {{ registerForm.errors.get('name') }}

Email address {{ registerForm.errors.get('email') }}

Phone Number {{ registerForm.errors.get('phone') }}

Job Title {{ registerForm.errors.get('title') }}

Password Minimum password length of 8 characters.
Require at least one upper and lowercase, numeric, and special character. {{ registerForm.errors.get('password') }}

Repeat password {{ registerForm.errors.get('password_confirmation') }}

We had trouble validating your card. It's possible your card provider is preventing us from charging the card. Please contact your card provider or customer support.

Credit Card

Cardholder's name

{{ __(plans[index].interval) | capitalize }} {{ plans[index].attributes.old_price | currency }} {{ plans[index].price | currency }}

All subscriptions auto renew but are easy to cancel.

I Accept The Terms Of Service

{{ registerForm.errors.get('terms') }}

Tax: {{ taxAmount(selectedPlan) | currency }}

Total Price Including Tax: {{ priceWithTax(selectedPlan) | currency }} {{ selectedPlan.type == 'user' && spark.chargesUsersPerSeat ? '/ '+ spark.seatName : '' }} {{ selectedPlan.type == 'user' && spark.chargesUsersPerTeam ? '/ '+ __('teams.team') : '' }} / {{ __(selectedPlan.interval) | capitalize }}

Primary Sector

Fed Farmers has 'no proof' of collusion, ANZ says

Federated Farmers has called on NZ banks to pull out of the Net Zero Banking Alliance.

Greg Hurrell 5:00am

Technology

The ‘humble’ NZ tourism tech company making millions

Tourplan was founded in 1986 and may be looking to sell for $150 million.

Ben Moore 5:00am

The ‘humble’ NZ tourism tech company making millions

Technology

French generative AI underdog taking on US giants

The new investments brought Mistral's valuation to almost €6b.

AFP 5:00am

French generative AI underdog taking on US giants

Sponsored

Why Kiwis are embracing Bitcoin ETFs

The once hard-to-access investment option is becoming mainstream.

Smart

Sponsored

The AI tech revolutionising safety in high-risk NZ workplaces

Around forklifts and machinery, Viewtech detects danger instantly.

Viewtech

More Economy

Economy

Manufacturing activity has contracted for 22 consecutive months

New Zealand’s manufacturing sector contracted in December, marking the first time in the survey’s history that all 12 months were in contraction. The seasonally adjusted Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) for December was 45.9, up from 45.2 in November but still well below...

Rebecca Howard 10:30am

Economy

Bank economists expect OCR rises in 2026

‘A number closer to four takes the cash rate to neutral,’ says BNZ's Stephen Toplis.

Gregor Thompson 5:00am

Economy

Westpac records soft December retail spending

Despite a slight lift, Westpac data points to a soft end of year for household spending.Westpac’s retail tracker, released on Thursday, showed spending on Westpac-issued credit and debit cards was up 2% in December compared to last year. Westpac senior economist Satish Ranchhod...

Staff reporters 16 Jan 2025

Retail

Price shakeup for cigarette brand

Cigarette prices typically go up each year. Not in this case.

Oliver Lewis 16 Jan 2025

Interest rates have peaked, but only if RBNZ’s plan works

More Economy

Your company has a subscription

Team