NZ's economic outlook: still a slog ahead

NZ's economic outlook: still a slog ahead
Airports like Queenstown's are heaving, but capacity constraints are stifling growth. (Image: NZME)
Cameron Bagrie
Will the Treasury follow the lead of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand in its economic projections for the half-year economic and fiscal update (HYEFU) in December?If its does, expect some major revisions to the fiscal numbers.The Reserve Bank’s leadBeyond the inflation battle, uncertainties and risk, the Reserve Bank of NZ's (RBNZ) August monetary policy statement forecasts had three key themes:A deeper business cycle slowdown is needed to contain inflation, with the economy barely avoiding a recession in 2023.Greater acceptance of sup...

More Economy

BNZ looks to economic uptick supporting its full year 2026 outturn
Finance

BNZ looks to economic uptick supporting its full year 2026 outturn

BNZ is the latest bank to cautiously spruik GDP growth in 2026.

Andy Macdonald 07 Nov 2025
RBNZ says risks linked to new mortgage lending contained
Economy

RBNZ says risks linked to new mortgage lending contained

House prices near the top of RBNZ's range of sustainable estimates.

Staff reporters 06 Nov 2025
‘Remarkable growth’: Fulton Hogan posts higher profit
Economy

‘Remarkable growth’: Fulton Hogan posts higher profit

Fulton Hogan paid a total dividend of $180.4m for 2025.

Duncan Bridgeman 05 Nov 2025
NZ's financial stability risks higher than in recent years
Finance

NZ's financial stability risks higher than in recent years

The RBNZ says global uncertainty and underperformance are key factors.

Staff reporters 05 Nov 2025