NZ's economic outlook: still a slog ahead

NZ's economic outlook: still a slog ahead
Airports like Queenstown's are heaving, but capacity constraints are stifling growth. (Image: NZME)
Cameron Bagrie
Will the Treasury follow the lead of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand in its economic projections for the half-year economic and fiscal update (HYEFU) in December?If its does, expect some major revisions to the fiscal numbers.The Reserve Bank’s leadBeyond the inflation battle, uncertainties and risk, the Reserve Bank of NZ's (RBNZ) August monetary policy statement forecasts had three key themes:A deeper business cycle slowdown is needed to contain inflation, with the economy barely avoiding a recession in 2023.Greater acceptance of sup...

More Economy

How to Be Wrong: summer reading for the PM
Economy

How to Be Wrong: summer reading for the PM

Advice on leading for innovation, threats to democracy, gangs, and more.

Pattrick Smellie 28 Nov 2025
RBNZ officials not against more transparency, just cautious
Economy

RBNZ officials not against more transparency, just cautious

The key is that any changes add value, says Assistant Governor Karen Silk.

Rebecca Howard 28 Nov 2025
‘Looking up’: Recovery taking hold as business confidence hits 11-year high
Economy

‘Looking up’: Recovery taking hold as business confidence hits 11-year high

Business confidence jumped another nine points from 58 to 67 in November, the highest level in 11 years, the ANZ Business Outlook survey for November shows.“Things are looking up!” said ANZ chief economist Sharon Zollner.“Out of a hole, admittedly,” she added.When interpreting qu...

Staff reporters 27 Nov 2025
Rodger Finlay new RBNZ chair, Rhiannon McKinnon to board
Economy

Rodger Finlay new RBNZ chair, Rhiannon McKinnon to board

Finlay is expected to deliver increased accountability and transparency.

Rebecca Howard 27 Nov 2025