Weak economy prompts dovish Reserve Bank pivot, more OCR cuts likely

Weak economy prompts dovish Reserve Bank pivot, more OCR cuts likely
The RBNZ's move surprised markets. (Image: Depositphotos)
Rebecca Howard
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s surprisingly dovish pivot was triggered by weaker-than-expected economic activity. “We have revised down significantly our official cash rate [OCR] projection in the document, that's largely around the news about the starting point for the economy,” Reserve Bank of NZ (RBNZ) governor Christian Hawkesby said. The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) on Wednesday voted to cut the OCR by 25 basis points to 3% by four votes to two. The other two were holding out for a 50-basis-point cut....

More Economy

Updated: RBNZ turns more dovish
Economy

Updated: RBNZ turns more dovish

The latest forecast imply two more rate cuts to come. 

Rebecca Howard 20 Aug 2025
RBNZ cuts to 3%, sees cash rate reaching 2.5%
Economy

RBNZ cuts to 3%, sees cash rate reaching 2.5%

RBNZ cuts by 25bps but thought about 50bps. 

Rebecca Howard 20 Aug 2025
Government keeps AA+ credit rating, Fitch warns to keep ‘culture of fiscal responsibility
Economy

Government keeps AA+ credit rating, Fitch warns to keep ‘culture of fiscal responsibility

The Government has kept its AA+ credit rating from Fitch, one of the big three ratings agencies – but the agency warned that a slackening culture of fiscal responsibility, a more severe housing market correction, or an unemployment spike could see the rating reduced in future.The...

Staff reporters 18 Aug 2025