Forecasts still point to a Biden presidency

Forecasts still point to a Biden presidency
Andy Fyers
Seemingly traumatised by the upset of 2016, few US election watchers seem prepared to spell out in plain language what the forecasts are saying – that Joe Biden is the overwhelming favourite to win the presidential election.The irony is that most pundits and prognosticators are far less confident of a win for the Democractic candidate than they were in 2016, when the polls were far more favourable for Trump – albeit that they still made him an underdog.US election forecast supremo Nate Silver has published two articles in the past t...

More Politics

Business of Government: zombie policies, pendulum swings and more...
Policy

Business of Government: zombie policies, pendulum swings and more...

Our weekly roundup of public sector news and analysis.

Jem Traylen 21 Feb 2024
Health not the only system ailing
Economy

Dileepa Fonseka: Health not the only system ailing

Spiraling issues need more than a Band-Aid. 

Dileepa Fonseka 19 Feb 2024
Scoring Luxon’s State of the Nation speech
Economy Analysis

Pattrick Smellie: Scoring Luxon’s State of the Nation speech

The prime minister has either found a speechwriter or is finding his voice. Maybe both.

Pattrick Smellie 18 Feb 2024
Unlikely allies: Top economists find common ground on spending reform
Economy

Unlikely allies: Top economists find common ground on spending reform

Craig Renney of the left and Eric Crampton of the right seem to agree on one thing. 

Dileepa Fonseka 16 Feb 2024