Unemployment to hit 5%, bank economists say

Unemployment to hit 5%, bank economists say
Economic activity is catching up with the labour market, says ASB economist Mark Smith. (Images: NZME)
Gregor Thompson
Most of New Zealand’s major bank economists expect unemployment to hit 5% when Statistics NZ releases its quarterly labour market statistics on Wednesday. Economists from Westpac and Bank of NZ (BNZ) expected unemployment to reach 5%, which aligns with the Reserve Bank of NZ’s (RBNZ) expectations. ASB's note forecasted the unemployment rate to reach 5.1%, the highest among major bank economists.Aside from the brief spike to 5.2% following the 2020 covid-19 lockdown, this would be the highest rate since 2016. ASB&r...

More Economy

No obstacles to RBNZ rate cut next week
Economy

No obstacles to RBNZ rate cut next week

The RBNZ is expected to cut the OCR to 2.25% and leave the door open for more.

Food prices lift 4.7% in 12 months to October
Economy

Food prices lift 4.7% in 12 months to October

Food prices increased by 4.7% in the 12 months to October, although they fell for the second consecutive month, down 0.3% due to lower vegetable prices.Higher prices for the grocery food group were the largest contributor, up 4.9% on an annual basis, while meat, poultry and fish...

Staff reporters 17 Nov 2025
An alternative to asset sales
Opinion

Cameron Bagrie: An alternative to asset sales

The case for outsourcing management of government assets. 

Cameron Bagrie 12 Nov 2025
BNZ looks to economic uptick supporting its full year 2026 outturn
Finance

BNZ looks to economic uptick supporting its full year 2026 outturn

BNZ is the latest bank to cautiously spruik GDP growth in 2026.

Andy Macdonald 07 Nov 2025