No, we won’t be returning to 1970s-style stagflation: Alexander

No, we won’t be returning to 1970s-style stagflation: Alexander
Economist Tony Alexander says oil prices haven't risen nearly as much as in the 1970s. (Image: NZ Herald)
Jenny Ruth
The rise in oil prices after economies came out of lockdown and because of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has been nothing like the magnitude of the 1970s oil price shock, said economist Tony Alexander.Oil prices quadrupled in 1973-74 and then doubled again later in the decade,“Nothing remotely approaching that has happened this time,” Alexander said in his latest Tony’s View newsletter.As well, the global economy is far less dependent on oil per unit of output than it was back in the 1970s.But this is just one of a number...

More Economy

High bar for July rate cut – ASB
Economy

High bar for July rate cut – ASB

July cut can't be ruled out but there is value in waiting, ASB says. 

Rebecca Howard 04 Jun 2025
RBNZ expects rates to go lower
Economy

RBNZ expects rates to go lower

The central forecast and the two alternatives all have rates dipping below 3%. 

Rebecca Howard 03 Jun 2025
RBNZ 25bps rate cut wasn't unanimous
Economy

RBNZ 25bps rate cut wasn't unanimous

The vote was 5 to 1 to cut by 25 basis points. 

Rebecca Howard 28 May 2025
RBNZ cuts, signals more to come
Economy

RBNZ cuts, signals more to come

Risks around the economic outlook are heightened. 

Rebecca Howard 28 May 2025